Browsing by Author "Prevatt, Natalie"

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    Exploring mechanisms of excess mortality with early fluid resuscitation: insights from the FEAST trial
    (2013) Maitland, Kathryn; George, Elizabeth C; Evans, Jennifer; Kiguli, Sarah; Olupot-Olupot, Peter; Akech, Samuel O; Opoka, Robert O; Engoru, Charles; Nyeko, Richard; Mtove, George; Reyburn, Hugh; Brent, Bernadette; Nteziyaremye, Julius; Mpoya, Ayub; Prevatt, Natalie; Dambisya, Cornelius M; Semakula, Daniel; Ddungu, Ahmed; Okuuny, Vicent; Wokulira, Ronald; Otii, Benedict; Levin, Michael; Crawley, Jane; Babiker, Abdel G; Gibb, Diana M; FEAST trial group
    Background: Early rapid fluid resuscitation (boluses) in African children with severe febrile illnesses increases the 48-hour mortality by 3.3% compared with controls (no bolus). We explored the effect of boluses on 48-hour allcause mortality by clinical presentation at enrolment, hemodynamic changes over the first hour, and on different modes of death, according to terminal clinical events. We hypothesize that boluses may cause excess deaths from neurological or respiratory events relating to fluid overload. Methods: Pre-defined presentation syndromes (PS; severe acidosis or severe shock, respiratory, neurological) and predominant terminal clinical events (cardiovascular collapse, respiratory, neurological) were described by randomized arm (bolus versus control) in 3,141 severely ill febrile children with shock enrolled in the Fluid Expansion as Supportive Therapy (FEAST) trial. Landmark analyses were used to compare early mortality in treatment groups, conditional on changes in shock and hypoxia parameters. Competing risks methods were used to estimate cumulative incidence curves and sub-hazard ratios to compare treatment groups in terms of terminal clinical events. Results: Of 2,396 out of 3,141 (76%) classifiable participants, 1,647 (69%) had a severe metabolic acidosis or severe shock PS, 625 (26%) had a respiratory PS and 976 (41%) had a neurological PS, either alone or in combination. Mortality was greatest among children fulfilling criteria for all three PS (28% bolus, 21% control) and lowest for lone respiratory (2% bolus, 5% control) or neurological (3% bolus, 0% control) presentations. Excess mortality in bolus arms versus control was apparent for all three PS, including all their component features. By one hour, shock had resolved (responders) more frequently in bolus versus control groups (43% versus 32%, P <0.001), but excess mortality with boluses was evident in responders (relative risk 1.98, 95% confidence interval 0.94 to 4.17, P = 0.06) and ‘nonresponders’ (relative risk 1.67, 95% confidence interval 1.23 to 2.28, P = 0.001), with no evidence of heterogeneity (P = 0.68). The major difference between bolus and control arms was the higher proportion of cardiogenic or shock terminal clinical events in bolus arms (n = 123; 4.6% versus 2.6%, P = 0.008) rather than respiratory (n = 61; 2.2% versus 1.3%, P = 0.09) or neurological (n = 63, 2.1% versus 1.8%, P = 0.6) terminal clinical events. Conclusions: Excess mortality from boluses occurred in all subgroups of children. Contrary to expectation, cardiovascular collapse rather than fluid overload appeared to contribute most to excess deaths with rapid fluid resuscitation. These results should prompt a re-evaluation of evidence on fluid resuscitation for shock and a reappraisal of the rate, composition and volume of resuscitation fluids.
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    WHO guidelines on fluid resuscitation in children : Authors’ reply to Southall
    (BMJ Publishing Group Ltd, 2014) Kiguli, Sarah; Akech, Samuel O; Mtove, George; Opoka, Robert O; Engoru, Charles; Olupot-Olupot, Peter; Nyeko, Richard; Evans, Jennifer; Crawley, Jane; Prevatt, Natalie; Reyburn, Hugh; Levin, Michael; George, Elizabeth C; South, Annabelle; Babiker, Abdel G; Gibb, Diana M; Maitland, Kathryn
    Southall made several points about our recent article.1 2 He suggests that “lethal hyperchloraemia” secondary to use of normal saline in FEAST (for boluses or maintenance) resulted in excess mortality. However, he did not comment on the key finding of the trial—that the increased 48 hour mortality was identical in both normal saline bolus (10.6%) and albumin bolus (10.6%) arms compared with the no bolus control group (7.3%).3 Harm was shown for every age group, in every condition, at each of the six hospitals, regardless of degree of acidosis,4 and for all definitions of shock.5 Despite differences in physical properties of albumin and saline, the timing of excess mortality after administration was identical (Kaplan-Meier mortality curves),3 making his hypothesis improbable.
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    WHO guidelines on fluid resuscitation in children: missing the FEAST data
    (Bmj, 2014) Kiguli, Sarah; Akech, Samuel O; Mtove, George; Opoka, Robert O; Engoru, Charles; Olupot-Olupot, Peter; Nyeko, Richard; Evans, Jennifer; Crawley, Jane; Prevatt, Natalie; Reyburn, Hugh; Levin, Michael; George, Elizabeth C; Babiker, Abdel G; Gibb, Diana M; Maitland, Kathryn
    The World Health Organization recommendations on management of common childhood illnesses affect the lives of millions of children admitted to hospital worldwide. Its latest guidelines,1 released in May 2013, continue to recommend rapid fluid resuscitation for septic shock, even though the only large controlled trial of this treatment (Fluid Expansion as a Supportive Treatment (FEAST) found that it increased the risk of death in African children.2 A subsequent systematic review of bolus resuscitation in children with shock resulting from severe infection also did not support its use.3 Failure to take this evidence into account is not consistent with WHO’s commitment to systematically and transparently assess evidence using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) process when producing guidelines and could endanger the lives of children